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Data and Analytics
Kaspa Market Dashboard

Persistent Bullish Trends with Nuanced Market Dynamics

July 10, 2024Shay Shao3 min read

Building upon the momentum from last week's landmark developments, Kaspa continues to exhibit a cautiously optimistic market tone. The bullish sentiment spurred by Marathon Holding's mining announcement and the KRC20 BETA launch has evolved into a more nuanced market landscape. This week reveals a growing market with subtle adjustments. Increased activity among LTHs and strategic profit-taking are signs of a mature market where stakeholders are fine-tuning their positions amid rising valuations. Let’s delve into the metrics and their implications for the coming weeks.

Confidence Among Long-Term Holders Amid Market Adjustments

The Realized HODL Ratio (RHR), standing at the 85.20 percentile with a notable decline of 21.52%, suggests some profit-taking and a slight shift towards short-term holdings. Despite this shift, the Reserve Risk remains at a low 3.00 percentile, indicating robust confidence among long-term holders (LTHs). LTHs remain hesitant to sell, displaying resilience and a favorable long-term outlook for Kaspa.

Market Valuation Adjustments and Sustainability

The MVRV Z-Score, currently at the 42.00 percentile with a 16.65% decline, suggests that Kaspa's market valuation is realigning with its historical value. This recalibration fosters healthier, more sustainable market growth rather than speculative bubbles. A similar trend is echoed by the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) Ratio at the 33.80 percentile, indicating a market slowly veering away from euphoric highs toward a more stable trajectory.

Low Supply Movement and Increasing On-Chain Activity

The 90-Day Coin Days Destroyed metric at the 68.90 percentile, with a 27.78% rise, highlights the increased movement of older coins. This indicates a potential phase of strategic redistribution rather than panic selling, showing dynamic yet healthy market activity. Additionally, the Percent Supply in Profit 30-Day MA at the 68.40 percentile reaffirms a favorable profit landscape, reflecting growing investor confidence.

Continued Upward Momentum in Price Metrics

A persistent bullish trend is apparent in the price metrics:

  • The 50-Day Moving Average (50DMA) continues its positive trajectory with a 21.49% rise, underscoring solid investor confidence.

  • Spreads across the 100DMA200DMA, and 100WMA indicate ongoing buying interest and market stability.

  • The Realized Price Spread's 10.80% climb further strengthens the market's bullish stance.

These metrics collectively convey that upward momentum remains strong, driven by continuous capital inflows and consistent performance across short—and long-term horizons.

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Conclusion and Investor Implications

Kaspa's market exhibits a coherent bullish trend underpinned by solid long-term holder confidence and positive price metrics. While valuation recalibrations suggest a tempered optimism, the foundational sentiment remains robust and forward-looking. Investors are advised to maintain a vigilant yet optimistic outlook.

With a balanced blend of optimism and caution, Kaspa’s market outlook remains promising, paving the way for sustained growth and strategic investment opportunities.

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Comments

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Alex

Thanks for the data and update, and for keeping us informed!

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